{"id":7683,"date":"2017-12-22T07:30:33","date_gmt":"2017-12-22T12:30:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=7683"},"modified":"2017-12-22T07:30:33","modified_gmt":"2017-12-22T12:30:33","slug":"a-roadmap-for-the-gold-sector","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/a-roadmap-for-the-gold-sector\/","title":{"rendered":"A Roadmap for the Gold Sector"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n\tThe gold sector is doing exactly what it should be doing for this time of year.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tThe VanEck Vectors Gold Miners Fund (GDX) bottomed last Tuesday &ndash; within one day of the FOMC December announcement on interest rates. The stock has quietly rallied 6% since then.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tThat action has produced a new &ldquo;buy&rdquo; signal from the Gold Miners Bullish Percent Index ($BPGDM). This signal often marks the start of an intermediate-term rally phase. So, the gold sector should be headed much higher over the next few weeks.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tBut it won&rsquo;t be a &ldquo;straight up&rdquo; move. Gold stocks are volatile. So, while the trend may indeed be higher for the next several weeks, there will be downdrafts along the way. Don&rsquo;t let those downdrafts shake you out.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tIn fact, traders should be using any short-term weakness as a chance to add exposure to the mining sector.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tTake a look at this updated chart of GDX&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"472\" src=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/171222-chart1_yuw264.png\" width=\"550\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\n\tFirst of all, notice how technical indicators like the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary#macd\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">MACD<\/a> and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary#rsi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">RSI<\/a> are nowhere near overbought levels yet. So, there&rsquo;s plenty of fuel to power an even stronger rally.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tNext, take a look at the action on the chart right after the previous $BPGDM buy signal in July (circled in blue). GDX rallied above both its 9-day <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary#ema\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">exponential moving average<\/a> (the red line) and its 50-day <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary#movingaverage\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">moving average<\/a> (the blue line). It finally ran into resistance at its upper <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary#bollingerbands\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bollinger Band<\/a> (the green lines). GDX then pulled back and retested its 50-day MA as support.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tThat was your last chance to buy into the gold sector before it exploded higher over the next month.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tSo, traders should use that action last July as a roadmap for the current $BPGDM buy signal.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tGDX has rallied above its 9-day EMA and 50-day MA. The next resistance is the upper Bollinger Band at about $23. That should mark a short-term top for this phase of the gold stock rally. From there, GDX will likely pull back and retest its 50-day MA at about $22.50 as support.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tTraders should use that pullback &ndash; if it happens &ndash; as a buying opportunity. That will probably be your last chance to get into the sector before the gold stocks take off.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tSo, here&rsquo;s the bottom line&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>\n\tIf you own gold stocks right here, then hang onto them. They&rsquo;ll likely be quite a bit higher a few weeks from now.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tIf you don&rsquo;t own gold stocks, then wait for GDX to pull back towards its 50-day MA, and then jump on board.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tBest regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin-bottom:20px;\">\n\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/casey-assets.s3.amazonaws.com\/images\/misc\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" style=\"max-width: 150px; width:150px\" width=\"150\" \/><\/div>\n<p>\n\tJeff Clark<\/p>\n<h2>\n\t<strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\n\t<em>Did you buy into the gold sector after you read <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/a-new-buy-signal-for-the-gold-sector\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">yesterday&rsquo;s essay<\/a>? Where do you see gold headed in 2018 and beyond?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<em>As always, feel free to send in your trading stories, questions, and suggestions <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\">right here<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here\u2019s how the gold sector should perform in the coming weeks\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":31,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-7683","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"ai_tts_audio_outdated":false,"ai_tts_legacy_post":false,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7683","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/31"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7683"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7683\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7683"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7683"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7683"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=7683"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=7683"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=7683"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=7683"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}