{"id":5873,"date":"2017-11-13T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2017-11-13T07:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/market-minute\/the-most-profitable-trade-of-my-career-almost-bankrupted-me\/"},"modified":"2017-11-13T07:30:00","modified_gmt":"2017-11-13T07:30:00","slug":"the-most-profitable-trade-of-my-career-almost-bankrupted-me","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/the-most-profitable-trade-of-my-career-almost-bankrupted-me\/","title":{"rendered":"The Most Profitable Trade of My Career Almost Bankrupted Me"},"content":{"rendered":"

In February 2000, I spotted an irresistible option trade. It was a no-brainer – almost as if the guys on the option trading floors were holding up signs announcing “FREE MONEY.” <\/p>\n

\tSo, I backed up my wheelbarrow and loaded up.<\/p>\n

\tIt was the most profitable trade of my career. But it almost bankrupted me first.<\/p>\n

\tThe story is 17 years old, and my memory isn't what it once was, so the finer details may not be exact. But here's basically what happened…<\/p>\n

\tPALM, the maker of smartphones and other handheld technology products, was scheduled to go public on March 2, 2000. The company was a wholly owned subsidiary of 3Com – which was issuing about 20% of the company to the public and taking advantage of the insane valuations of the internet mania.<\/p>\n

\tThe IPO price was set at $38. Of course, we all knew the stock would open for trading way above that level because, well… that's just what stocks did back then.<\/p>\n

\tIn January 2000, shares of 3Com were trading at about $50. By the last week of February, they were crossing the tape at more than $90.<\/p>\n

\tThe market was already pricing in the increased valuation of 3Com shares as a result of the PALM IPO. In the option markets, the expectations had risen to purely foolish levels.<\/p>\n

\tThe 3Com March $120 call options were trading for about $6. In other words, call buyers were willing to pay $600 for the right to buy 100 shares of 3Com at $120 per share over the next four weeks.<\/p>\n

\t3Com was trading at $90 – already up 80% in the past month! It would have to go up another 33% in the next four weeks for these calls to be worth anything at all by the time they expired.<\/p>\n

\tSellers of the call options would receive $600 for each contract and would be obligated to sell shares of 3Com at $120 if the stock was above that level on option expiration day.<\/p>\n

\tThe pricing of these options was just nuts, and it was the result of tremendous hype surrounding the PALM IPO – hype that would disappear as soon as the stock went public. I did the only thing I could do… I sold the call options and collected $600 on each contract. In fact, since the premium was so large and the potential for profit was so high, I took a position that was about three times my normal size.<\/p>\n

\tAnd the hype continued…<\/p>\n

\tThe next day, just three trading days before the PALM IPO, shares of 3Com rallied to $95, and the option premiums inflated further. The March $120 call options, which I had sold the day before for $6, were now trading at $10. I was down $400 per contract in just one day.<\/p>\n

\tSo, I sold more.<\/p>\n

\tThat's right. I increased my position size even more. Not only that, I started telling my clients about this trade and encouraging them to take positions. I even put my own brokerage firm's money into the trade. I was THAT certain it would be a winner.<\/p>\n

\t3Com went higher the next day, too. It was now at $96 per share, and – in a further display of the power of hype – the March $120 call options went up more than the stock. The options I sold at $6, and then again at $10, were now at $14.<\/p>\n

\tI sold more. I also started selling the March $130, $140, and $150 calls as well. The option premiums were just too large not to. And the probability of the stock rallying above $120 (let alone $130, $140, or $150) was so remote that I rationalized it was OK to keep the exposure.<\/p>\n

\tThen came the morning of the PALM IPO. I hadn't slept at all the night before. I was sitting at my desk and staring through an assortment of half-empty Pepto-Bismol bottles at the television screen on the other side of my office.<\/p>\n

\tMaria Bartiromo and Bob Pisani were on CNBC. They were talking about the tremendous interest investors had in the PALM IPO. Early indications were that PALM – which was priced at $38 for the IPO – would open for trading somewhere north of $150 per share.<\/p>\n

\tMy stomach sank, and I slammed my forehead onto the top of my desk.<\/p>\n

\tIf PALM was worth $150 per share, then a quick “back of the napkin” calculation told me 3Com was worth more than $300 per share.<\/p>\n

\tI had agreed to sell it for $120. My exposure was so large that anything above $180 would bankrupt me. It would wipe out my account, put my firm under the minimum net capital requirements, and create huge losses for my clients.<\/p>\n

\tI started to panic. I started typing an order to cover the position and take the loss while there was still time. 3Com was trading at $105, and the March $120 call options were $18. It would be a tough loss to swallow, but I'd remain solvent, and I'd be around to trade the next day.<\/p>\n

\tJust as I finished typing the order and was about to hit the “send” key, I stopped. A voice in the back of my head said, “It's all hype. You've seen this before and you know how it's going to end. You used logic and common sense when you got into the position. Now you're about to panic to get out.”<\/p>\n

\tI erased my order entry screen. Stood up from my desk and unplugged the television. I then left my office for two hours.<\/p>\n

\tPALM started trading about one hour later. It opened at $140 per share, the high of the day, and then began drifting lower.<\/p>\n

\t3Com never traded above $110. And as soon as PALM went public, 3Com started to sell off. It was a typical, and predictable, “sell on the news” situation.<\/p>\n

\tWhen I returned to the office, 3Com was trading at $85 and the March $120 call options, which I had sold for $6, $10, and $14 – and which had traded as high as $20 earlier in the day – were now worth just $0.06. Every contract I had sold for a minimum of $600 now cost just $6 to buy back.<\/p>\n

\tThe trade that had threatened to bankrupt me just a few hours earlier had now made a fortune. My clients were rich. My firm was rich. And my own net worth nearly doubled as a result.<\/p>\n

\tI shut my office door, turned off the lights, sat down at my desk, and closed my eyes. And I swore I would never, ever do that again.<\/p>\n

\tThere's no need to.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\tThe option market provides any number of ways to take advantage of mispriced, overhyped situations without exposing yourself to tremendous risks<\/em>.<\/p>\n

\tI could have employed a relatively simple strategy that would have been equally as profitable, but considerably reduced my risks had I just done a little extra homework.<\/p>\n

\tI started thinking about this trade over the past weekend when I was looking for another situation that the market appears to be mispricing. The stock is down 35% in just the past few weeks, and option prices seem to me to be “out of whack.”<\/p>\n

\tOnce again, they're holding up the “FREE MONEY” sign.<\/p>\n

\tThis time, though, I've crafted a trade with far less risk exposure. I'll be sharing this trade with Delta Report<\/em> subscribers on Tuesday morning.<\/p>\n

\tBest regards and good trading,<\/p>\n

\t<\/div>\n

\tJeff Clark<\/p>\n

\tP.S.<\/strong> Ever since that day, I’ve used the technique that saved my fortune to book huge, fast gains for my subscribers. Winners like 139% in 5 days on Target… 150% in 4 days on Toll Brothers… and 400% in one day on Sonic Corp.<\/strong> just to name a few.<\/p>\n

\tTo learn more about how you can use my trading techniques to spot short-term, high-upside setups like these, click here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\tReader Mailbag<\/h2>\n

\tIn today’s mailbag, we hear from <\/em>Delta Report subscribers about waiting for the right trade setup…<\/em><\/p>\n

\n

\t\tPlease don’t apologize for not making a trade recommendation when there’s not a good setup.<\/p>\n

\t\tOne of the best things about your work is that you have the knowledge and integrity to NOT make a trade recommendation when there is not a good, high-probability setup. That is exactly what I was hoping for when I started Delta Report and that is exactly what I am getting. So please keep on the same plan and only make recommendations when you truly believe in them.<\/p>\n

\t\tI also like the way you separate the “Trades for Mom” (low-risk, high-probability) from the more speculative trades. Both are very helpful in making personal decisions about which trades to participate in.
\t\t <\/p>\n

\t\t–  Tom S.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\n

\t\tWell-thought-out option trades are risky enough without rolling the dice just to have a trade.
\t\t <\/p>\n

\t\t–  John G.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\n

\t\tJeff, I'm new to the Delta Report<\/em>. I'm just fine waiting for a better setup. I don't belong to a “Trade of the Week” service for a reason!
\t\t <\/p>\n

\t\t–  John H.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\n

\t\tAnother comment about the recent SPY put trade. I closed the put a bit early, but did make money. You also suggested adding to the put if the S&P came back and tagged the 9-day EMA, which it did.<\/p>\n

\t\tI did not add, but stayed closely tuned to your guidance. It was a rather long hold being in the red, but with the bulls in this market, any profit on the short side is worth taking.<\/p>\n

\t\tI do like your conservative style. I would much rather have a trade with good conviction and no trades in the meantime than many trades just to trade. Your reasoning and explanations for the trades you suggest are explicitly clear to me.<\/p>\n

\t\tI am very appreciative of the education about the relationship of markets. To me that is of greater importance than just following calls. Thanks for your service and timely comments.<\/p>\n

\t\t–  John M.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\tIf you have any past trading experiences you’d like to share, or just a question or comment about the <\/em>Market Minute or <\/em>Delta Report, let me know right here<\/a>…<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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