{"id":22253,"date":"2024-11-01T07:30:26","date_gmt":"2024-11-01T11:30:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=22253"},"modified":"2024-11-01T07:30:26","modified_gmt":"2024-11-01T11:30:26","slug":"think-twice-about-buying-gold-right-now","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/think-twice-about-buying-gold-right-now\/","title":{"rendered":"Think Twice About Buying Gold Right Now"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Get ready for a golden pullback.<\/p>\n<p>Gold has enjoyed an amazing rally this year. The price of the shiny yellow metal climbed above $2,800 per ounce on Wednesday. It&rsquo;s up 35% for 2024, with more than half of those gains coming in just the past three months.<\/p>\n<p>Gold bugs are smiling. These are big gains. And, they&rsquo;re looking for even bigger returns in the months to come.<\/p>\n<p>But first&hellip; it looks like we&rsquo;re ready for some air to come out of the gold bubble.<\/p>\n<p>Look at this chart comparing the action in gold to the action in the gold mining stocks&hellip;<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px;line-height:24px;margin-bottom: 0px\" align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"height: auto;max-width: 700px;width: 100%;margin: 0px auto\" width=\"700\" alt=\"chart\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202411\/20241101-JMU-01.jpg\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px;line-height:24px;margin-bottom: 20px\" align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202411\/20241101-JMU-01.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">(Click here to expand image)<\/a><\/p>\n<p>This is a ratio chart that divides the price of the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners Fund (GDX) by the price of gold. The absolute level of the chart isn&rsquo;t important. It is the direction of the chart that provides a clue as to the future short-term direction for gold.<\/p>\n<p>You see, gold stocks tend to lead the price of the metal. So, when this chart is moving higher &ndash; meaning gold stocks are outperforming gold &ndash; the price of gold is set to rally.<\/p>\n<p>When this chart is moving lower &ndash; meaning gold stocks are underperforming the action in the metal &ndash; it often leads to a pullback in gold.<\/p>\n<p>After pushing higher earlier this month, this chart has turned sharply lower. The gold stocks are underperforming.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"margin-top: 5px;text-align: center\">A Big Warning Sign <\/h2>\n<p>That&rsquo;s a big warning sign for the price of gold.<\/p>\n<p>For example, when this ratio chart peaked in mid-July, gold was at $2,470 per ounce. Two weeks later it was at $2,350.<\/p>\n<p>Then, after a strong rally in early August leading to another peak in this chart by the middle of the month, gold marked time for a few weeks &ndash; until the gold stocks started to outperform again.<\/p>\n<table bgcolor=\"#eeeeee\" border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"10\" cellspacing=\"0\" width=\"100%\" style=\"border: 1px solid #D7D7D7;margin-bottom:20px\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding-left: 15px;padding-right: 15px;padding-top: 15px;font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px;line-height:24px\">\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"margin-bottom: 20px;font-size: 18px\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 10px;margin-top: 0px\">Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>The recent underperformance in the gold stocks should be a concern for gold investors. It likely indicates at least a pause in the current rally, or possibly a more significant pullback.<\/p>\n<p>That doesn&rsquo;t mean we should sell our gold. We are in the midst of a gold bull market, and I suspect the shiny yellow metal will be even higher in the months ahead.<\/p>\n<p>But, folks who are looking to buy more gold right now might consider thinking twice about chasing this rally. This ratio chart suggests we could have a better buying opportunity a few weeks from now.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px;line-height:24px;margin-bottom: 20px\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Signature\" src=\"https:\/\/files.jeffclarktrader.com\/global\/signatures\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px;width:100%\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark <br \/>\nEditor, <em>Market Minute<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Get ready for a golden pullback.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":61,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-22253","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"ai_tts_audio_outdated":false,"ai_tts_legacy_post":false,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22253","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/61"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22253"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22253\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22253"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22253"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22253"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=22253"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=22253"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=22253"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=22253"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}