{"id":22175,"date":"2024-09-25T07:30:36","date_gmt":"2024-09-25T11:30:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=22175"},"modified":"2024-09-25T07:30:36","modified_gmt":"2024-09-25T11:30:36","slug":"this-widow-maker-trade-jumped-40-in-two-months","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/this-widow-maker-trade-jumped-40-in-two-months\/","title":{"rendered":"This \u201cWidow Maker\u201d Trade Jumped 40% in Two Months"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It&rsquo;s time to bail on the widow maker.<\/p>\n<p>Regular readers may recall that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/dont-tell-my-wife-about-this-trade\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">I bought natural gas in mid-July<\/a>. I noted that it&rsquo;s called the &ldquo;widow maker&rdquo; because it&rsquo;s notoriously difficult to trade.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>And even though we didn&rsquo;t see the typical summertime rally I anticipated, I stuck with the trade and reiterated my bullish stance <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/im-sticking-with-this-widow-maker-trade\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">two weeks ago<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The setup in natural gas looked bullish to me. It looked like the widow maker could gain 10% or more &ndash; fast.<\/p>\n<p>Here&rsquo;s what has happened&hellip;<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px; margin-bottom: 0px;\" align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"display: block; height: auto; max-width: 650px; width: 100%; margin: 0px auto;\" width=\"650\" alt=\"chart\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202409\/20240925-JMU-01.png\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px; margin-bottom: 20px;\" align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cdn.jeffclarktrader.com\/JMU\/images\/202409\/20240925-JMU-01.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">(Click here to expand image)<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The dashed red lines on the chart show the &ldquo;ascending triangle&rdquo; pattern that had me leaning bullish, and the upside target of that pattern.<\/p>\n<p>Natural gas has exceeded my upside target. It&rsquo;s trading 40% higher than where it was in July. It&rsquo;s up 25% in just the past two weeks. And it&rsquo;s time to take profits on the trade.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, plenty of traders will argue with me on this. They&rsquo;ll say, &ldquo;Let it run. Natural gas is blasting higher. The next obvious resistance is the June high near $3.20. And we&rsquo;re heading into autumn and winter, when the demand for natural gas is likely to increase.&rdquo;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>I can&rsquo;t argue with any of that, except to say&hellip; natural gas is called the &ldquo;widow maker&rdquo; for a reason.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s hard to trade. The price action is erratic. It doesn&rsquo;t seem to conform to any rules of fundamental or technical analysis.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>So trading natural gas often feels like fending off death.<\/p>\n<table bgcolor=\"#eeeeee\" border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"10\" cellspacing=\"0\" width=\"100%\" style=\"border: 1px solid #D7D7D7; margin-bottom:20px;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding-left: 15px;padding-right: 15px; padding-top: 15px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px;\">\n<p align=\"center\" style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px; font-size: 18px;\"><strong>Free Trading Resources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-top: 0px\">Have you checked out Jeff&#8217;s free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career \u2013 at zero cost to you. Just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a> to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>If you can somehow make a profit in that situation, it&rsquo;s probably a good idea to take the gain while you still have it.<\/p>\n<p>I&rsquo;m out of the natural gas trade for now. Any traders who followed me into this position should consider following me on the way out as well.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>We&rsquo;ll move to the sidelines and wait for the widow maker to set up again.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;font-size:17px; line-height:24px; margin-bottom: 20px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Signature\" src=\"https:\/\/files.jeffclarktrader.com\/global\/signatures\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" style=\"max-width:200px; width:100%;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark <br \/>\nEditor, <em>Market Minute<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This \u201cwidow maker\u201d trade has exceeded my upside target. It\u2019s trading 40% higher than where it was in July. And it\u2019s time to take profits on the trade.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":61,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-22175","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"ai_tts_audio_outdated":false,"ai_tts_legacy_post":false,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22175","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/61"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22175"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22175\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22192,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22175\/revisions\/22192"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22175"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22175"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22175"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=22175"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=22175"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=22175"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stage.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=22175"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}